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Wednesday, September 28, 2011

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Brazil's economic boom drawing immigrant workers home

Brazilians are returning to better opportunities. Unemployment is at a historic low, and incomes are rising rapidly. In many sectors, Brazilians earn more than their U.S. counterparts.

Brazil's economy
Shoppers pass a store in Brasilia. Brazil's economic boom has raised incomes, especially among the middle and lower-middle classes. (Adriano Machado, Bloomberg / September 2, 2011)
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Two years ago, Victor Bahia was scraping by on tips from delivering pizzas toUC Berkeley students, living in rough neighborhoods and dodging immigration authorities. These days, he runs his two businesses between frequent trips to the beach here in his hometown and barbecues with his family at a new house in a quiet suburb.

But he didn't return because he had realized the dream of many immigrants: earning enough money in the United States to start a new life at home. He gave up on California because he became convinced that booming Brazil offered much more opportunity than the crisis-ridden U.S.

And, like many others who have increasingly made the return journey, he found that reality far exceeded his expectations.

"I never planned on leaving, really. I love it there," said Bahia, 25. "But my mom and everyone here kept telling me that this economy was exploding like never before, and all the work had dried up in the Bay Area. It's the same reason that the majority of the Brazilians I knew there were also leaving."

Since the economic crisis struck in the U.S. three years ago, the Brazilian economy has continued to surge, and the currency, the real, has appreciated dramatically against the dollar. The unemployment rate here is at a historic low, and incomes, especially of the lower and middle classes, are rising rapidly. In many sectors, Brazilian workers earn more than their U.S. counterparts.

"It's hard to get specific numbers," said Eduardo Gradilone Neto, undersecretary-general for Brazilian Communities Abroad at the Foreign Ministry. "But we're seeing that a significant part of what we call the Brazilian diaspora is coming home, because there are comparatively so much more opportunities here than there were five or 10 years ago."

He said Brazilians began emigrating in large numbers in the 1990s, when opportunities in Europe and the United States looked attractive compared with the economic problems in their homeland. At one point, he said, 3 million Brazilians were living abroad, many of them the young people who are the country's future. "That was the trend until 2008, when we saw the crisis in the developed countries."

About a third of the Brazilians living in Japan, for which there are official numbers because of a special visa agreement, have returned since 2008, Gradilone said.

"We wouldn't be surprised to see that a similar ratio of the community living in the U.S. had returned," he said. "And in the communities that we historically expected to see emigration, now instead of going to the U.S. or Europe, they tend to go to other Brazilian cities."

Over the last decade, Brazil has increased its trade ties with China, which has overtaken the U.S. as the country's main trading partner. High prices for commodities such as iron ore and soy have powered Brazil's economic boom, as have stable macroeconomic conditions and soaring consumer demand.

Strict banking regulations meant that Brazil was relatively unscathed by the 2008 crisis. In the years since the global meltdown, the growth has been most remarkable in the country's traditionally poorer regions, such as the northeastern state of Bahia, whose largest city, Salvador, was the capital of Brazil in early colonial times.

A 2010 report from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security estimates that about 200,000 undocumented Brazilians live in the United States, and many more are residents with visas or permanent citizenship. The Brazilian government puts the number of Brazilians in the U.S. at about 1 million.

Those who had been earning dollars saw their savings dwindle in terms of the Brazilian currency when the real appreciated rapidly, as high interest rates and growth led to a flow of investment into the country.

"I had nightmares about the drop in the value of the dollar. I dreamt that it dropped to $1 for one real and woke up screaming," said Flavia, who just returned to Salvador da Bahia with her husband, Toni. He has U.S. citizenship, but she wasn't able to acquire a green card because, she said, immigration authorities didn't believe their marriage was legitimate.

Toni got his start working illegally in California as a driver after moving from Goias, in the rural interior of Brazil, then got his papers after his first marriage, to a U.S. citizen. He and Flavia have asked that their full names not be used, because a year after applying for Flavia's green card, their case is still technically open.

"So we came back." she said. "But then I saw that my cousins who stayed here, went to school and got jobs have often earned even more than those of us who went abroad and struggled.

"I left my country when I was 18," she said, "and I went 10 years without seeing my family, and I think, was it worth it?"

She worked as a nanny in San Francisco, and says she will go back to school in Brazil, because Toni quickly found work as a contractor.

It's not just low-income workers who have been drawn home by the economy. Companies and business schools say they are luring back Brazilians who might have previously planned on working in the U.S. For one thing, the money is better. The Economist magazine found this year that executives earn more money in Sao Paulo, Brazil's economic capital, than in any other city in the world. New York came in second.

"We are seeing all kinds of Brazilians return," said Rodrigo Zeidan, professor of international economics at the Fundacao Dom Cabral, one of Brazil's top business schools. "And doing so makes perfect economic sense. Brazil has found its own internal growth engine, and incomes are rising, especially in the middle and lower-middle classes.

"I myself have recently come home from abroad, and we in Brazil are living through something that unfortunately a lot of the rich countries like the U.S. don't have at the moment. Young people tend to take it for granted that with a little hard work they can do something bigger and better than what their parents are doing."

Some cited an increasingly difficult atmosphere in the U.S. for immigrants as a factor in their decision to return home.

"I was arrested by immigration authorities in Maine in 2009 and spent a day without food, in the freezing cold," said Marcos "Beto" Lopes da Silva, 37. , who said that after his legal ordeal he spent a few months crashing with Bahia in California and struggling to find enough work before leaving the U.S. with very little to show for his year there.

He now works in a computer supply store here and makes $1,250 to $2,500 a month selling and refilling printer cartridges, much more than he made as a construction worker in the United States.

"I plan to return to the U.S., of course, but only just to pass through," he said. "You know, to go shopping."

Bevins is a special correspondent.
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Brazil cuts tax on petrol imports

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Brazil cuts tax on petrol imports

Brazil’s government has been forced to cut taxes on petrol imports as the country struggles to keep a lid on inflation, with national strikes over pay threatening to boost prices even higher in Latin America’s biggest economy.
The government announced on Tuesday that it would reduce the so-called CIDE tax, which applies to imports and sales of petrol to distributors, by 16 per cent – a move that will allow the country to maintain vital government price controls at the pumps.

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The tax cut should also help cut losses at Petrobras, the state-run oil company, which has had to import greater volumes of petrol to meet surging demand from Brazil’s growing middle classes, but has been banned from passing on its higher costs to consumers.
“Inflation is still a big concern. It’s been at elevated levels for the last few months and the expectation is that prices will remain under pressure,” said Marianna Costa, chief economist with Link Investimentos in São Paulo. “Unemployment is very low which boosts labour costs ... there’s not much the central bank can do this year.”
Brazil’s annual inflation rate continued to climb during the first half of September, hitting 7.33 per cent and again exceeding the upper limit of the central bank’s target range of 6.5 per cent.
Economists are now predicting that the central bank will also fail to keep inflation within the target range by the end of this year, a situation that could prove politically dangerous for Dilma Rousseff, the new president.
beyondbrics: Brazil cuts petrol tax as global storm clouds gather
Hyperinflation during the 1980s and early 1990s crippled Brazil and the central bank’s decision inAugust to resume cutting interest rates even as inflation continued to rise shocked economists and left many nervous.
However, Alexandre Tombini, central bank president, has stood firm and reiterated in a presentation to the senate on Tuesday that 12-month inflation would start to ease in the fourth quarter of this year.
Although the fresh crisis in global markets has helped to ease commodity price rises, Brazil is struggling with long-term inflationary pressures such as record-low unemployment, which has given employees more bargaining power to push up wages.
Bank workers on Tuesday became the latest to strike over pay, following protests from the postal service and metalworkers earlier this month, demanding a near-13 per cent salary increase.
“Inflation expectations for next year have also got worse because of these wage concerns,” said Ms Costa, adding that the recent weakness of Brazil’s currency had added to price pressures by making imports more expensive.
Fuel prices have come under particular scrutiny after the government recently cut the blend of ethanol in all petrol to 20 per cent from 25 per cent because of low ethanol supplies, meaning motorists will consume even more gasoline.
Under the new decree published on Tuesday, the CIDE tax on petrol will fall to R$192.60 per cubic meter from R$230 ($127), making it cheaper for companies such as Petrobras to import the fuel without stoking inflation.
Brazil’s government also temporarily reduced the CIDE tax in 2008 and 2010 to avoid having to raise pump prices in tandem with global crude prices – a policy it has followed for the past eight years.
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    Monday, September 26, 2011

    ROCK IN RIO: FIRST WEEKEND


    Rock in Rio First Weekend: Daily

    By Anna Fitzpatrick, Contributing Reporter
    RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – The Red Hot Chili Peppers were the headliners last night, at perhaps the world’s biggest music festival, Rock in Rio. Over 700,000 tickets were sold to watch acts such as Elton John, Coldplay and Guns N’ Roses over seven different dates between September 23rd and October 2nd.
    The Rock in Rio crowd awaits Red Hot Chili Peppers to take the stage, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, News
    The Rock in Rio crowd awaits Red Hot Chili Peppers to take the stage, image recreation.
    The series of concerts kicked off on Friday in style with Brazil’s own Claudia Leitte, and then international acts Katy Perry, Elton John and Rihanna, entertaining the crowds. The major hitch was the delay of the start of the concert by a couple of hours due to technical difficulties.
    The number of registered robberies on the first day neared the 200 mark, though it is not expected that all incidents are reported. There have been complaints that there are insufficient resources to deal with the problems inside the Cidade do Rock, the custom built venue – the future site of the 2016 Olympics.
    Highlights from the first couple of days also included Grammy winner Esperanza Spalding playing with Brazilian legend Milton Nascimento. There was also a wedding yesterday – two Red hot Chili Peppers fans exchanged their vows in the Rock City.
    Tonight’s lineup include Motörhead, Slipnot and Metallica.
    Read more (in Portuguese)
    * The Rio Times Daily Update is a new feature we are offering to help keep you up-to-date with the major news as it happens.
      share

    Saturday, September 24, 2011

    Jurors selected to hear case against Michael Jackson's doctor


    Jurors selected to hear case against Michael Jackson's doctor

    Seven men and five women will weigh the manslaughter case against Dr. Conrad Murray.

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    Dr. Conrad Murray
    The jury will hear opening statements in the manslaughter case against Dr. Conrad Murray on Tuesday. (Mark Boster / Los Angeles Times)
    Lawyers finalized a jury to decide the guilt ofMichael Jackson's personal physician during proceedings Friday that suggested the trial will be a battle over the role the singer had in his own death.

    The panel of seven men and five women will hear opening statements in the manslaughter case against Dr. Conrad Murray on Tuesday. In their questions to potential jurors, prosecutors and defense attorneys laid the groundwork for their vastly different views of the physician's culpability.

    The defense is expected to argue Jackson was a desperate addict who gave himself the fatal dose of the surgical anesthetic propofol. Defense attorney Ed Chernoff pounced when one female juror said she thought of the singer "as a child."

    Was he so childlike he was incapable of making decision? the attorney asked. No, she replied. The juror was excused.

    Turning to the group, he asked, "Does anybody think that Michael Jackson should be held to a different standard of responsibility?" No hands were raised.

    A prosecutor focused his questions on whether panelists could convict Murray if they found Jackson had contributed to his own death. Deputy Dist. Atty. David Walgren asked would-be jurors to consider a hypothetical situation in which a reckless driver runs a red light and kills a pedestrian who was "also not being safe as he could be and steps out in front of a car."

    "You could say the driver is not 100% responsible, but he did play a substantial role," Walgren said, echoing the wording of the involuntary manslaughter charge. "Could you find him guilty?" he asked juror after juror.

    All said they could, but one man asked if the pedestrian had used a crosswalk. Prosecutors later dismissed that juror.

    Chernoff later built on Walgren's analogy, proposing scenarios in which a person parachutes off a plane onto the road ahead of the driver, or suddenly runs in front of the car. He made the case that the driver would be culpable only if the pedestrian's death was a "natural and probable consequence" of his actions.

    Extensive questionnaires filled out by the jurors were released at the end of the day after the panel was seated. The final 12 range in age from 32 to 57 and cover a gamut of professions, including a letter carrier, a management consultant, a school bus driver, a paralegal and a former animator. Five alternates also were selected.

    Half the panelists had responded on the questionnaires that they had considered themselves fans of Jackson or his family at some point.

    "When I was a kid I liked the Jackson Five," one of the jurors wrote in his questionnaire. "Things change as you get older. I'm more of a Jay-Z fan."

    Several jurors said they had followed previous high-profile cases. Three said they had followed theO.J. Simpson trial — "Who didn't?" one of them wrote — and three said they followed parts of Casey Anthony's murder trial in Florida.

    During questioning from attorneys Friday, one juror said she watched "bits and pieces" of the Anthony trial.

    "It was on a lot. It was kind of hard not to see it," she said.

    Another juror, the animator, told the judge he was briefly introduced to Jackson three decades ago on the Disney lot.

    One panelist who was not selected was civil rights attorney Connie Rice. The prosecution excused Rice, a longtime critic of the Los Angeles Police Department, the lead agency in the death investigation.

    On her questionnaire, Rice wrote that she knew plenty of people treated badly by law enforcement because "our police abuse class-action cases in the 1990s were full of clients who were treated unconstitutionally and unfairly."

    Now, however, she has a positive view of those agencies, Rice wrote, noting that she had worked with both the LAPD and the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department.
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